< shift/library / mindset

Sunk Cost Awareness Practice

mindset · medium · 10 min/week reflection

What is Sunk Cost Awareness Practice?

The sunk cost fallacy — continuing to invest in something because of what you've already spent rather than what you'll gain — is one of the most pervasive cognitive biases. Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky's prospect theory research shows that loss aversion makes us irrational about past investments. This practice builds the habit of evaluating decisions based only on future expected value, not past costs.

Is there evidence for it?

EVIDENCEstrong

How do you do Sunk Cost Awareness Practice?

  1. 1.Identify one area of your life where you might be 'throwing good money after bad' — a career path, a relationship, a project, a subscription, a degree
  2. 2.Apply the 'fresh start test': if you hadn't already invested anything, would you start this today knowing what you know now?
  3. 3.If the answer is no, make a plan to exit — the past investment is gone regardless of what you do next
  4. 4.Create a 'sunk cost journal': when you notice yourself saying 'but I already spent so much on this,' write it down and force a future-only analysis
  5. 5.Practice with small stakes first: return a bad meal, leave a boring movie, cancel an unused gym membership — build the muscle of cutting losses

How long does it take?

10 min/week reflection.

Is it hard to start?

medium.

Source: Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, Prospect Theory (1979); Daniel Kahneman, Thinking Fast and Slow (2011)
mindset · decision-making · biases · sunk-cost · rationality · kahneman
> find what fits you

Related in mindset

Memento Mori Daily PracticeMemento Mori ('remember you will die') was a practice where Roman generals had slaves whisper reminders of...80/20 Life Audit (Pareto Analysis)The Pareto Principle, observed by Italian economist Vilfredo Pareto in 1897 and popularized by Richard Koch...First Principles Thinking ProtocolFirst principles thinking, traced back to Aristotle and popularized by Elon Musk, is the practice of breaking...Inversion Mental Model (Pre-Mortem)Inversion, championed by Charlie Munger and traced to mathematician Carl Jacobi's maxim 'Invert, always...Circle of Competence MappingWarren Buffett and Charlie Munger's 'circle of competence' mental model states that knowing the boundary of...Stoic Negative Visualization (Premeditatio Malorum)Premeditatio malorum, practiced by Marcus Aurelius, Seneca, and Epictetus, is the daily exercise of...

> everything in mindset

This is one entry from the library Shift matches against. It is general information, not advice about you, and nothing on this page came from anyone's conversation.